Environmental and demographic drivers of epidemics

Kimball, Presley, Jean-Sebastien Casalegno, Pamela P. Martinez, Ayesha S. Mahmud, Bjorn Sandstede, and Rachel E. Baker. "Urban contact patterns shape respiratory syncytial virus epidemics with implications for vaccination." Science Advances 11, no. 48 (2025): eady5457.
Stamper, Aleksandra, and Rachel E. Baker. "Spatial patterns and environmental influences of COVID-19 outbreaks, post-Omicron." PLoS One 21.2 (2026): e0342510.
Stamper, Aleksandra R., Ayesha S. Mahmud, Jennifer R. Nuzzo, and Rachel E. Baker. "Modeling the impact of climate extremes on seasonal influenza outbreaks across tropical and temperate locations." GeoHealth 9, no. 4 (2025): e2024GH001138.
Baker, Rachel E. et al. "Increasing intensity of enterovirus outbreaks projected with climate change", Nature Communications (2024)
Mahmud, Ayesha S., Pamela P. Martinez, and Rachel E. Baker. "The impact of current and future climates on spatiotemporal dynamics of influenza in a tropical setting." PNAS Nexus 2.9 (2023): pgad307.
Baker, Rachel E., et al. "Infectious disease in an era of global change." Nature Reviews Microbiology (2021): 1-13.
Baker, Rachel E., et al. "Assessing the influence of climate on future wintertime SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks." Nature Communications (2021).

Selected coverage: Buzzfeed News, Nature News

Selected coverage: NIH Director's Blog, Slate , NBC, Al Jazeera, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Business Insider

Baker, Rachel E. "Climate change drives increase in modeled HIV prevalence." Climatic Change (2020): 1-16.

Hooshyar, Milad, Caroline E. Wagner, Rachel E. Baker, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Bryan T. Grenfell, and Amilcare Porporato. "Cyclic epidemics and extreme outbreaks induced by hydro-climatic variability and memory." Journal of the Royal Society Interface 17, no. 171 (2020): 20200521.

Wagner, Caroline E., Milad Hooshyar, Rachel E. Baker, Wenchang Yang, Nimalan Arinaminpathy, Gabriel Vecchi, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Amilcare Porporato, and Bryan T. Grenfell. "Climatological, virological and sociological drivers of current and projected dengue fever outbreak dynamics in Sri Lanka." Journal of the Royal Society Interface 17, no. 167 (2020): 20200075.

Rose, Noah H. et al "Climate and urbanization drive mosquito preference for humans." Current Biology (2020)

Baker, Rachel E. et al. "Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates." Nature Communications (2019)
Blog post here.

Baker, Rachel E., Ayesha S. Mahmud, and C. Jessica E. Metcalf. "Dynamic response of airborne infections to climate change: predictions for varicella." Climatic change 148.4 (2018): 547-560.

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